Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | 2–1 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 49% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 1–3 | Leicester +2 | Derby 40% | |
| 2014-01-10 | 4–1 | Leicester +3 | Leicester 47% | |
| 2013-08-17 | 0–1 | Leicester +1 | Derby 44% | |
| 2013-03-16 | 2–1 | Derby +1 | Leicester 36% | |
| 2012-12-01 | 4–1 | Leicester +3 | Leicester 50% | |
| 2012-02-23 | 0–1 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 37% | |
| 2011-10-01 | 4–0 | Leicester +4 | Leicester 47% | |
| 2011-02-12 | 0–2 | Leicester +2 | Derby 36% | |
| 2010-11-13 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 38% | |
| 2010-03-27 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 41% |