Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | 2–2 | Draw | Grimsby 43% | |
| 2025-09-06 | 2–3 | Grimsby +1 | MK Dons 42% | |
| 2025-04-26 | 0–0 | Draw | MK Dons 39% | |
| 2024-10-26 | 1–3 | MK Dons +2 | Grimsby 41% | |
| 2024-03-12 | 1–0 | Grimsby +1 | MK Dons 43% | |
| 2023-11-28 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 58% | |
| 2019-01-26 | 1–0 | Grimsby +1 | MK Dons 39% | |
| 2018-08-21 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 56% |