Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-09 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Accrington 39% | |
| 2026-02-11 | 1–0 | Grimsby +1 | Grimsby 47% | |
| 2025-08-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Accrington 40% | |
| 2025-01-01 | 3–2 | Accrington +1 | Accrington 41% | |
| 2024-12-03 | 5–2 | Grimsby +3 | Grimsby 41% | |
| 2024-02-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Accrington 55% | |
| 2023-10-14 | 0–2 | Accrington +2 | Grimsby 37% | |
| 2017-12-30 | 0–3 | Accrington +3 | Grimsby 39% | |
| 2017-09-12 | 1–2 | Grimsby +1 | Accrington 52% | |
| 2017-03-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Accrington 51% | |
| 2016-12-26 | 2–0 | Grimsby +2 | Grimsby 40% | |
| 2010-04-05 | 2–3 | Grimsby +1 | Accrington 44% |