Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-11 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2025-12-02 | 4–5 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2025-05-25 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 48% | |
| 2024-10-05 | 3–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 75% | |
| 2024-05-11 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 69% | |
| 2023-09-02 | 5–1 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2023-04-30 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2022-11-05 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 82% | |
| 2021-03-13 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2020-12-05 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 86% | |
| 2019-03-30 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 82% | |
| 2018-09-15 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2014-03-22 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 83% | |
| 2013-12-21 | 2–4 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2013-01-19 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2012-09-29 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 48% | |
| 2012-02-04 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2011-09-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 45% | |
| 2011-02-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 53% | |
| 2010-11-21 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Fulham 39% | |
| 2010-03-21 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Fulham 37% |