Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | 3–2 | Luton +1 | Luton 54% | |
| 2026-01-01 | 1–0 | Exeter +1 | Luton 36% | |
| 2018-02-03 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Luton 57% | |
| 2017-10-17 | 1–4 | Luton +3 | Exeter 42% | |
| 2017-03-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 51% | |
| 2016-11-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Luton 37% | |
| 2016-05-07 | 4–1 | Luton +3 | Luton 43% | |
| 2015-12-19 | 2–3 | Luton +1 | Exeter 44% | |
| 2015-04-03 | 2–3 | Exeter +1 | Luton 45% | |
| 2014-11-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Exeter 43% |