Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 46% | |
| 2026-03-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Exeter 47% | |
| 2025-04-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Exeter 49% | |
| 2024-12-21 | 1–2 | Exeter +1 | Exeter 38% | |
| 2024-03-16 | 1–0 | Exeter +1 | Exeter 44% | |
| 2023-09-02 | 0–1 | Exeter +1 | Burton 38% | |
| 2023-02-11 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 39% | |
| 2022-09-17 | 0–2 | Burton +2 | Exeter 53% | |
| 2014-12-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Exeter 41% | |
| 2014-08-19 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 50% | |
| 2014-02-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 53% | |
| 2013-10-26 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Exeter 42% | |
| 2013-02-23 | 4–2 | Burton +2 | Burton 44% | |
| 2012-09-01 | 3–0 | Exeter +3 | Exeter 49% |