Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-05 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-02 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-18 | 0–1 | Everton +1 | Aston Villa 62% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Everton 40% | |
| 2025-01-15 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 3–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 58% | |
| 2024-01-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 43% | |
| 2023-08-20 | 4–0 | Aston Villa +4 | Aston Villa 57% | |
| 2023-02-25 | 0–2 | Aston Villa +2 | Everton 37% | |
| 2022-08-13 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 49% | |
| 2022-01-22 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Everton 41% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 3–0 | Aston Villa +3 | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2021-05-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 39% | |
| 2021-05-01 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Everton 50% | |
| 2020-07-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Everton 55% | |
| 2019-08-23 | 2–0 | Aston Villa +2 | Everton 47% | |
| 2016-03-01 | 1–3 | Everton +2 | Everton 53% | |
| 2015-11-21 | 4–0 | Everton +4 | Everton 63% | |
| 2015-05-02 | 3–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Everton 43% | |
| 2014-10-18 | 3–0 | Everton +3 | Everton 63% | |
| 2014-02-01 | 2–1 | Everton +1 | Everton 64% | |
| 2013-10-26 | 0–2 | Everton +2 | Everton 41% | |
| 2013-02-02 | 3–3 | Draw | Everton 68% | |
| 2012-08-25 | 1–3 | Everton +2 | Everton 44% | |
| 2012-01-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 40% | |
| 2011-09-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Everton 49% | |
| 2011-04-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Everton 54% | |
| 2010-08-29 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 36% | |
| 2010-04-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Aston Villa 41% |