Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | 0–1 | Sunderland +1 | Sunderland 43% | |
| 2024-10-01 | 2–0 | Sunderland +2 | Sunderland 52% | |
| 2018-03-30 | 1–4 | Sunderland +3 | Derby 65% | |
| 2017-08-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Sunderland 47% |