Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | 2–3 | Derby +1 | Plymouth 44% | |
| 2024-11-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 46% | |
| 2023-03-07 | 2–1 | Plymouth +1 | Plymouth 42% | |
| 2022-09-03 | 2–3 | Plymouth +1 | Derby 51% | |
| 2010-01-26 | 1–0 | Plymouth +1 | Plymouth 42% |