Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-22 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 49% | |
| 2021-08-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 45% | |
| 2021-02-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 40% | |
| 2020-10-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 46% | |
| 2020-07-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 44% | |
| 2019-11-09 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 49% | |
| 2019-02-25 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 41% | |
| 2018-12-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 47% | |
| 2018-03-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 40% | |
| 2017-10-15 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Derby 47% | |
| 2017-03-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Derby 36% | |
| 2016-12-11 | 3–0 | Derby +3 | Derby 47% | |
| 2016-03-19 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 51% | |
| 2015-11-06 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Derby 40% | |
| 2015-01-17 | 1–2 | Nottingham +1 | Derby 63% | |
| 2014-09-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 45% | |
| 2014-03-22 | 5–0 | Derby +5 | Derby 47% | |
| 2013-09-28 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 46% | |
| 2013-01-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 46% | |
| 2012-09-30 | 0–1 | Derby +1 | Nottingham 46% | |
| 2012-03-13 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 48% | |
| 2011-09-17 | 1–2 | Derby +1 | Nottingham 44% | |
| 2011-01-22 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 38% | |
| 2010-12-29 | 5–2 | Nottingham +3 | Nottingham 48% | |
| 2010-01-30 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 39% |