Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-15 | 3–2 | Derby +1 | Derby 61% | |
| 2023-08-12 | 0–3 | Derby +3 | Burton 41% | |
| 2023-04-22 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 60% | |
| 2022-12-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 43% | |
| 2018-04-14 | 3–1 | Burton +2 | Derby 51% | |
| 2017-12-02 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 61% | |
| 2017-02-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 61% | |
| 2016-08-26 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 37% |