Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-01 | 4–1 | Burton +3 | Burton 49% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 2–0 | Crewe +2 | Crewe 43% | |
| 2021-03-13 | 0–3 | Burton +3 | Crewe 49% | |
| 2020-12-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 39% | |
| 2016-03-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 45% | |
| 2015-10-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 52% | |
| 2012-02-14 | 3–2 | Crewe +1 | Crewe 45% | |
| 2011-09-13 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 44% | |
| 2011-03-05 | 4–1 | Crewe +3 | Crewe 46% | |
| 2010-09-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 43% | |
| 2010-02-12 | 1–2 | Crewe +1 | Burton 48% |