Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | 0–0 | Draw | MK Dons 59% | |
| 2025-08-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Crawley 46% | |
| 2024-05-11 | 1–5 | Crawley +4 | MK Dons 46% | |
| 2024-05-07 | 3–0 | Crawley +3 | Crawley 40% | |
| 2023-12-29 | 2–0 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 51% | |
| 2023-08-15 | 2–1 | Crawley +1 | Crawley 36% | |
| 2019-03-02 | 1–0 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 58% | |
| 2018-11-03 | 0–4 | MK Dons +4 | MK Dons 40% | |
| 2015-01-10 | 2–2 | Draw | MK Dons 44% | |
| 2014-08-30 | 2–0 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 50% | |
| 2014-04-12 | 0–2 | Crawley +2 | MK Dons 53% | |
| 2013-12-26 | 0–2 | MK Dons +2 | Crawley 39% | |
| 2013-04-06 | 0–0 | Draw | MK Dons 54% | |
| 2012-10-23 | 2–0 | Crawley +2 | Crawley 39% |