Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-10 | 1–3 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 66% | |
| 2021-10-23 | 7–0 | Chelsea +7 | Chelsea 72% | |
| 2020-07-14 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 64% | |
| 2019-08-24 | 2–3 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 43% | |
| 2016-03-01 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 54% | |
| 2015-11-21 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 58% | |
| 2014-05-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 80% | |
| 2013-10-06 | 1–3 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2012-12-26 | 0–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 41% | |
| 2012-10-06 | 4–1 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 65% | |
| 2012-01-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 46% | |
| 2011-08-27 | 3–1 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 66% |