Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2025-01-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 38% | |
| 2024-12-29 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Watford 58% | |
| 2024-02-03 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Watford 53% | |
| 2023-10-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 46% | |
| 2023-04-19 | 1–3 | Cardiff +2 | Watford 54% | |
| 2022-11-02 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Cardiff 36% | |
| 2021-03-13 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 41% | |
| 2020-12-05 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Watford 64% | |
| 2019-02-22 | 1–5 | Watford +4 | Watford 42% | |
| 2018-12-15 | 3–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 54% | |
| 2014-12-28 | 2–4 | Watford +2 | Cardiff 39% | |
| 2014-11-29 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Watford 46% | |
| 2013-04-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 44% | |
| 2012-10-23 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 51% | |
| 2012-04-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 49% | |
| 2011-12-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 39% | |
| 2011-01-22 | 4–2 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 41% | |
| 2010-12-28 | 4–1 | Watford +3 | Watford 40% | |
| 2010-03-21 | 3–1 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 48% |