Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 45% | |
| 2025-04-12 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Cardiff 44% | |
| 2024-12-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 49% | |
| 2024-02-24 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 43% | |
| 2023-11-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 43% | |
| 2023-04-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 36% | |
| 2022-12-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 49% | |
| 2022-03-16 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 40% | |
| 2021-10-30 | 3–3 | Draw | Stoke 53% | |
| 2021-03-16 | 0–0 | Draw | Cardiff 52% | |
| 2020-12-08 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Stoke 46% | |
| 2020-02-22 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Cardiff 36% | |
| 2019-11-26 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 51% | |
| 2014-04-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 41% | |
| 2013-12-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 44% |