Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | 2–2 | Draw | Cardiff 47% | |
| 2025-09-30 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Cardiff 64% | |
| 2018-03-30 | 3–1 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 70% | |
| 2017-08-05 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Burton 42% | |
| 2017-01-21 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 51% | |
| 2016-10-01 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 43% |