Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-21 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 60% | |
| 2024-12-26 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 79% | |
| 2018-04-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 49% | |
| 2017-08-18 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 47% | |
| 2017-04-17 | 0–2 | Burton +2 | Birmingham 45% | |
| 2016-10-21 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Birmingham 37% |