Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-09 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-02 | 4–1 | Burton +3 | Burton 48% | |
| 2026-04-11 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 49% | |
| 2025-10-25 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | AFC Wimbledon 48% | |
| 2022-01-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 50% | |
| 2021-10-02 | 1–1 | Draw | AFC Wimbledon 47% | |
| 2021-03-09 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | AFC Wimbledon 42% | |
| 2020-10-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 41% | |
| 2020-01-28 | 2–2 | Draw | AFC Wimbledon 36% | |
| 2019-10-22 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 54% | |
| 2019-02-09 | 0–2 | Burton +2 | Burton 40% | |
| 2018-09-01 | 3–0 | Burton +3 | Burton 49% | |
| 2015-02-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 50% | |
| 2014-09-16 | 3–0 | AFC Wimbledon +3 | Burton 37% | |
| 2014-03-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 55% | |
| 2013-09-21 | 3–1 | AFC Wimbledon +2 | AFC Wimbledon 41% | |
| 2013-02-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 38% | |
| 2012-08-21 | 6–2 | Burton +4 | Burton 43% | |
| 2012-03-24 | 4–0 | AFC Wimbledon +4 | AFC Wimbledon 44% | |
| 2011-11-26 | 3–2 | Burton +1 | Burton 49% |