Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-25 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 46% | |
| 2022-08-13 | 4–4 | Draw | Accrington 50% | |
| 2022-04-15 | 0–0 | Draw | Accrington 46% | |
| 2021-11-23 | 4–0 | Burton +4 | Burton 46% | |
| 2021-04-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Accrington 48% | |
| 2020-09-19 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 43% | |
| 2020-01-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 49% | |
| 2019-12-29 | 2–0 | Accrington +2 | Accrington 42% | |
| 2019-03-23 | 5–2 | Burton +3 | Burton 57% | |
| 2018-09-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 37% | |
| 2015-03-14 | 3–0 | Burton +3 | Burton 57% | |
| 2015-02-24 | 1–0 | Accrington +1 | Burton 40% | |
| 2014-03-01 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 51% | |
| 2013-08-31 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Accrington 36% | |
| 2013-04-01 | 3–3 | Draw | Burton 40% | |
| 2012-12-09 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 50% | |
| 2012-01-06 | 0–2 | Accrington +2 | Burton 41% | |
| 2011-08-27 | 2–1 | Accrington +1 | Accrington 43% | |
| 2011-05-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Accrington 39% | |
| 2011-03-15 | 3–1 | Accrington +2 | Accrington 47% | |
| 2010-03-23 | 0–2 | Burton +2 | Accrington 43% |