Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Liverpool 73% | |
| 2025-09-14 | 0–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 59% | |
| 2024-02-10 | 3–1 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 81% | |
| 2023-12-26 | 0–2 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 63% | |
| 2022-02-13 | 0–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 71% | |
| 2021-08-21 | 2–0 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 71% | |
| 2021-05-19 | 0–3 | Liverpool +3 | Liverpool 56% | |
| 2021-01-21 | 0–1 | Burnley +1 | Liverpool 74% | |
| 2020-07-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Liverpool 71% | |
| 2019-08-31 | 0–3 | Liverpool +3 | Liverpool 67% | |
| 2019-03-10 | 4–2 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 80% | |
| 2018-12-05 | 1–3 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 65% | |
| 2018-01-01 | 1–2 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 45% | |
| 2017-09-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Liverpool 58% | |
| 2017-03-12 | 2–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 62% | |
| 2016-08-20 | 2–0 | Burnley +2 | Liverpool 40% | |
| 2015-03-04 | 2–0 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 70% | |
| 2014-12-26 | 0–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 45% | |
| 2010-04-25 | 0–4 | Liverpool +4 | Liverpool 44% |