Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-30 | 1–2 | Luton +1 | Luton 47% | |
| 2018-09-15 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Luton 44% | |
| 2016-01-02 | 2–0 | Bristol Rovers +2 | Bristol Rovers 42% | |
| 2015-08-18 | 0–1 | Bristol Rovers +1 | Luton 51% |