Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-12 | 4–1 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 57% | |
| 2026-04-21 | 2–2 | Draw | Southampton 63% | |
| 2025-10-21 | 3–1 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 43% | |
| 2024-02-13 | 3–1 | Bristol City +2 | Southampton 44% | |
| 2023-11-29 | 1–0 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 54% | |
| 2011-12-30 | 0–1 | Bristol City +1 | Southampton 60% | |
| 2011-11-26 | 2–0 | Bristol City +2 | Southampton 43% |