Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Brentford 51% | |
| 2020-12-09 | 0–0 | Draw | Brentford 64% | |
| 2020-07-11 | 1–3 | Brentford +2 | Derby 39% | |
| 2019-08-31 | 3–0 | Brentford +3 | Brentford 42% | |
| 2019-04-06 | 3–3 | Draw | Brentford 40% | |
| 2018-09-22 | 3–1 | Derby +2 | Derby 42% | |
| 2018-02-03 | 3–0 | Derby +3 | Derby 52% | |
| 2017-09-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Brentford 43% | |
| 2017-04-14 | 4–0 | Brentford +4 | Brentford 41% | |
| 2016-10-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 41% | |
| 2016-02-20 | 1–3 | Derby +2 | Brentford 36% | |
| 2015-10-03 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Derby 53% | |
| 2015-04-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 52% | |
| 2014-11-01 | 2–1 | Brentford +1 | Derby 45% |