Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 3–4 | Brentford +1 | Brentford 46% | |
| 2025-11-29 | 3–1 | Brentford +2 | Brentford 58% | |
| 2024-03-16 | 2–1 | Burnley +1 | Brentford 39% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 3–0 | Brentford +3 | Brentford 53% | |
| 2022-03-12 | 2–0 | Brentford +2 | Brentford 44% | |
| 2021-10-30 | 3–1 | Burnley +2 | Brentford 39% | |
| 2016-01-15 | 1–3 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 39% | |
| 2015-08-22 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 48% |