Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | 2–3 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 44% | |
| 2024-10-05 | 2–2 | Draw | Bolton 60% | |
| 2024-04-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Bolton 71% | |
| 2023-11-07 | 0–2 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 43% | |
| 2023-04-22 | 1–0 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 60% | |
| 2022-12-10 | 3–2 | Shrewsbury +1 | Shrewsbury 38% | |
| 2022-01-22 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Shrewsbury 48% | |
| 2021-10-02 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 50% | |
| 2019-12-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 37% | |
| 2017-03-25 | 0–2 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 45% | |
| 2016-12-26 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 59% |