Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2024-03-16 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 43% | |
| 2023-09-02 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 45% | |
| 2023-01-21 | 2–1 | Derby +1 | Derby 50% | |
| 2022-12-27 | 0–0 | Draw | Bolton 39% | |
| 2019-04-13 | 4–0 | Derby +4 | Derby 66% | |
| 2018-09-29 | 1–0 | Bolton +1 | Derby 38% | |
| 2018-04-07 | 3–0 | Derby +3 | Derby 61% | |
| 2017-08-19 | 1–2 | Derby +1 | Bolton 39% | |
| 2016-04-09 | 4–1 | Derby +3 | Derby 69% | |
| 2015-08-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Bolton 41% | |
| 2015-02-07 | 4–1 | Derby +3 | Derby 61% | |
| 2014-09-27 | 0–2 | Derby +2 | Derby 39% | |
| 2014-03-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 51% | |
| 2013-09-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Bolton 39% | |
| 2013-02-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 40% | |
| 2012-08-21 | 2–0 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 50% |