Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 43% | |
| 2024-01-20 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Stoke 51% | |
| 2023-12-26 | 1–3 | Stoke +2 | Birmingham 41% | |
| 2023-04-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 39% | |
| 2022-11-05 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Stoke 48% | |
| 2022-02-19 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 59% | |
| 2021-08-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 36% | |
| 2021-04-10 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Stoke 42% | |
| 2020-10-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 57% | |
| 2020-07-12 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 48% | |
| 2019-08-31 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2018-12-26 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Stoke 40% | |
| 2018-10-20 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Stoke 62% | |
| 2011-02-12 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 42% | |
| 2010-11-09 | 3–2 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 45% |