Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-01 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 68% | |
| 2024-09-21 | 0–2 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2024-04-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 38% | |
| 2023-12-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 48% | |
| 2023-03-11 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 42% | |
| 2022-08-27 | 2–0 | Rotherham +2 | Rotherham 52% | |
| 2021-04-18 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Rotherham 47% | |
| 2020-09-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 40% | |
| 2019-04-22 | 1–3 | Birmingham +2 | Rotherham 36% | |
| 2018-10-06 | 3–1 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 45% | |
| 2017-04-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2016-10-18 | 4–2 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 56% | |
| 2016-02-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 43% | |
| 2015-09-26 | 0–2 | Rotherham +2 | Birmingham 52% | |
| 2015-04-03 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 50% | |
| 2014-11-22 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Rotherham 48% |