Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-01 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-25 | Scheduled | |||
| 2022-12-27 | 3–0 | Burnley +3 | Burnley 69% | |
| 2022-10-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 53% | |
| 2016-04-16 | 1–2 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 43% | |
| 2015-08-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Burnley 50% | |
| 2014-03-12 | 3–3 | Draw | Burnley 44% | |
| 2013-09-17 | 3–0 | Burnley +3 | Burnley 49% | |
| 2013-01-26 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Burnley 45% | |
| 2012-12-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Birmingham 50% | |
| 2012-04-03 | 1–3 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 38% | |
| 2011-11-22 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 56% | |
| 2010-05-01 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 52% |