Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-23 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-24 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2025-10-26 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Manchester City 41% | |
| 2025-04-22 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2024-12-21 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Manchester City 40% | |
| 2024-04-03 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2023-12-06 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Manchester City 51% | |
| 2023-02-12 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 77% | |
| 2022-09-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2022-05-22 | 3–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2021-12-01 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2021-04-21 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2021-01-20 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 75% | |
| 2020-01-12 | 1–6 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2019-10-26 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 83% | |
| 2016-03-05 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2015-11-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2015-04-25 | 3–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2014-10-04 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2014-05-07 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 82% | |
| 2013-09-28 | 3–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Manchester City 53% | |
| 2013-03-04 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2012-11-17 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 70% | |
| 2012-02-12 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 55% | |
| 2011-10-15 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2011-01-22 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Manchester City 44% | |
| 2010-12-28 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 58% | |
| 2010-05-01 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 47% |