Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-27 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 47% | |
| 2019-03-02 | 4–0 | Aston Villa +4 | Aston Villa 42% | |
| 2018-11-10 | 0–3 | Aston Villa +3 | Derby 48% | |
| 2018-04-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 51% | |
| 2017-12-16 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Derby 45% | |
| 2017-02-25 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Derby 36% | |
| 2016-08-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 44% |