Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-31 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 45% | |
| 2025-12-30 | 4–1 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 59% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Arsenal 46% | |
| 2025-01-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Arsenal 64% | |
| 2024-08-24 | 0–2 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 43% | |
| 2024-04-14 | 0–2 | Aston Villa +2 | Arsenal 63% | |
| 2023-12-09 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2023-02-18 | 2–4 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 49% | |
| 2022-08-31 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 63% | |
| 2022-03-19 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 41% | |
| 2021-10-22 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 54% | |
| 2021-02-06 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2020-11-08 | 0–3 | Aston Villa +3 | Arsenal 63% | |
| 2020-07-21 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Arsenal 49% | |
| 2019-09-22 | 3–2 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 71% | |
| 2016-05-15 | 4–0 | Arsenal +4 | Arsenal 82% | |
| 2015-12-13 | 0–2 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 61% | |
| 2015-02-01 | 5–0 | Arsenal +5 | Arsenal 74% | |
| 2014-09-20 | 0–3 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 50% | |
| 2014-01-13 | 1–2 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 58% | |
| 2013-08-17 | 1–3 | Aston Villa +2 | Arsenal 65% | |
| 2013-02-23 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 66% | |
| 2012-11-24 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 49% | |
| 2012-03-24 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 62% | |
| 2011-12-21 | 1–2 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 41% | |
| 2011-05-15 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Arsenal 60% | |
| 2010-11-27 | 2–4 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 39% | |
| 2010-01-27 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 44% |