Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-25 | 1–2 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 78% | |
| 2024-10-05 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 82% | |
| 2023-04-21 | 3–3 | Draw | Arsenal 79% | |
| 2022-10-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 56% | |
| 2022-04-16 | 1–0 | Southampton +1 | Arsenal 45% | |
| 2021-12-11 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 60% | |
| 2021-01-26 | 1–3 | Arsenal +2 | Southampton 40% | |
| 2020-12-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 48% | |
| 2020-06-25 | 0–2 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2019-11-23 | 2–2 | Draw | Arsenal 66% | |
| 2019-02-24 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 64% | |
| 2018-12-16 | 3–2 | Southampton +1 | Arsenal 55% | |
| 2018-04-08 | 3–2 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 65% | |
| 2017-12-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 47% | |
| 2017-05-10 | 0–2 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 40% | |
| 2016-09-10 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 52% | |
| 2016-02-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 59% | |
| 2015-12-26 | 4–0 | Southampton +4 | Arsenal 49% | |
| 2015-01-01 | 2–0 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 37% | |
| 2014-12-03 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 49% | |
| 2014-01-28 | 2–2 | Draw | Arsenal 47% | |
| 2013-11-23 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 58% | |
| 2013-01-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 48% | |
| 2012-09-15 | 6–1 | Arsenal +5 | Arsenal 63% |