Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 0–2 | MK Dons +2 | Accrington 41% | |
| 2025-09-20 | 1–2 | Accrington +1 | MK Dons 43% | |
| 2025-03-04 | 2–0 | Accrington +2 | Accrington 42% | |
| 2024-10-22 | 2–1 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 49% | |
| 2024-02-10 | 2–1 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 47% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 1–0 | Accrington +1 | Accrington 45% | |
| 2023-03-18 | 0–1 | MK Dons +1 | Accrington 40% | |
| 2022-08-20 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 47% | |
| 2022-01-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Accrington 39% | |
| 2021-08-28 | 2–0 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 42% | |
| 2021-03-13 | 3–2 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 43% | |
| 2020-12-05 | 2–1 | Accrington +1 | Accrington 48% | |
| 2019-08-31 | 2–1 | Accrington +1 | Accrington 43% |