Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-20 | 0–3 | Luton +3 | Luton 53% | |
| 2018-10-23 | 4–1 | Luton +3 | Luton 46% | |
| 2018-03-10 | 1–2 | Accrington +1 | Luton 48% | |
| 2017-10-07 | 0–2 | Luton +2 | Accrington 45% | |
| 2017-04-29 | 1–4 | Luton +3 | Accrington 37% | |
| 2016-11-12 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Luton 50% | |
| 2016-04-09 | 0–2 | Accrington +2 | Luton 39% | |
| 2015-08-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Accrington 43% | |
| 2015-02-28 | 2–0 | Luton +2 | Luton 50% | |
| 2014-08-23 | 2–2 | Draw | Accrington 46% |