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League One
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Oxford Utd vs Stevenage Prediction & Win Probability

Oxford Utd has a 50% chance to win.

3-2-1 · Rating 1476
Form: DWWLW
VS
2-3-2 · Rating 1436
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stevenage

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.4%3.4%14.9%10.3%
If Win 2.2%5.5%19.6%7.0%
If Draw 1.3%3.2%15.4%9.5%
If Lose <1%2.9%13.4%11.5%

Oxford Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 15.4%27.5%33.9%1.6%
If Win 17.1%32.9%35.6%<1%
If Draw 12.6%25.3%35.3%1.4%
If Lose 10.5%20.7%33.3%1.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Oxford UtdStatStevenage
6Games played7
2.2Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded1.1
50% / 33% / 17%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 43% / 29%
33% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Oxford UtdStatStevenage
4All-time wins (9 meetings, 4 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.7Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Stevenage 1–2 Oxford Utd