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Oxford Utd vs Stevenage Prediction & Win Probability

Oxford Utd has a 49% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League One
Oxford Utd
7-5-1Rating 1482
Form: WDWDW
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
League One
Stevenage
4-4-4Rating 1451
Form: DLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stevenage

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.8%4.2%19.2%3.3%
If Win 2.1%6.7%24.4%1.9%
If Draw 1.4%3.5%19.1%2.7%
If Lose 1.0%2.9%16.0%4.4%

Oxford Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 22.9%39.3%38.9%<1%
If Win 27.9%46.5%35.6%<1%
If Draw 19.9%36.6%39.2%<1%
If Lose 18.2%33.3%38.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Oxford UtdStatStevenage
13Games played12
1.7Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.1
54% / 38% / 8%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
57% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Oxford UtdStatStevenage
4All-time wins (9 meetings, 4 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.7Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Stevenage 1–2 Oxford Utd