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MK Dons vs Oxford Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Oxford Utd has a 38% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League One
MK Dons
4-6-3Rating 1404
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
38%
League One
Oxford Utd
7-5-1Rating 1482
Form: WDWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Oxford Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 23.8%40.0%37.2%<1%
If Win 28.3%47.5%36.4%<1%
If Draw 22.8%38.5%38.7%<1%
If Lose 18.2%34.0%39.2%<1%

MK Dons

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.4%10.2%7.0%
If Win 1.1%2.8%12.7%4.4%
If Draw <1%1.6%9.4%7.8%
If Lose <1%<1%7.7%9.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MK DonsStatOxford Utd
13Games played13
1.7Avg goals scored1.7
1.5Avg goals conceded0.8
31% / 46% / 23%Win / Draw / Loss54% / 38% / 8%
43% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MK DonsStatOxford Utd
2All-time wins (12 meetings, 5 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-08-15): Oxford Utd 2–2 MK Dons