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Birmingham vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 59% chance to win.
League One
Fri, Feb 12, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT
League One
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
59%
Draw 23%
18%
League One
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatDerby
15Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored0.9
0.9Avg goals conceded2.0
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BirminghamStatDerby
5All-time wins (25 meetings, 9 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-09-12): Derby 1–2 Birmingham