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Derby vs Bolton Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 42% chance to win.
Final Score: Derby 3–1 Bolton
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
League One
Derby
1-4-9Rating 1591
Form: LLDLL
3 – 1
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
31%
League One
Bolton
5-2-7Rating 1591
Form: WLLDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatBolton
14Games played14
0.8Avg goals scored1.4
2.1Avg goals conceded1.9
7% / 29% / 64%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 14% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatBolton
8All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.6Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2024-03-16): Derby 1–0 Bolton