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Southampton vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 66% chance to win.

League One

Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT

League One

Southampton

8-4-3Rating 1750

Form: LDWWD

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vs

Model Probability

66%

Draw 20%

14%

League One

Derby

2-4-9Rating 1591

Form: WLLDL

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Model Prediction Through Season

Southampton	Stat	Derby
15	Games played	15
1.9	Avg goals scored	0.9
1.0	Avg goals conceded	2.0
53% / 27% / 20%	Win / Draw / Loss	13% / 27% / 60%
86%	Home win % / Away win %	14%

Southampton	Stat	Derby
2	All-time wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)	0
2	Last 4 meetings (2 draws)	0
2.0	Average goals	0.8

Last meeting (2026-04-11): Southampton 2–1 Derby

Recent Results

Southampton

Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1

Tue, Nov 3, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2

Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5

Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0

Derby

Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4

Tue, Nov 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4

Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5

@ Sheffield Utd

Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1