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League One
Sat, Jan 2, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Plymouth vs Luton Prediction & Win Probability

Plymouth has a 48% chance to win.

4-1-2 · Rating 1459
Form: WWWLW
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1433
Form: LLDWL
Model Probability
48%
26%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Luton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%3.3%15.6%12.2%
If Win 1.8%5.3%19.1%7.3%
If Draw 1.1%3.0%13.9%11.4%
If Lose <1%1.8%10.9%15.8%

Plymouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.1%21.0%34.9%1.9%
If Win 13.9%26.0%36.0%<1%
If Draw 8.9%18.3%34.1%1.3%
If Lose 7.4%15.1%31.4%2.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PlymouthStatLuton
7Games played7
2.0Avg goals scored1.7
1.4Avg goals conceded2.0
57% / 14% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PlymouthStatLuton
5All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.1Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-01-24): Plymouth 1–0 Luton