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Plymouth vs MK Dons Prediction & Win Probability

Plymouth has a 50% chance to win.
League One
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
League One
Plymouth
7-2-5Rating 1446
Form: DWLLW
vs
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
League One
MK Dons
4-6-3Rating 1404
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

MK Dons

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.1%9.9%7.2%
If Win <1%2.6%14.4%3.7%
If Draw <1%1.1%9.9%6.9%
If Lose <1%1.0%7.2%8.5%

Plymouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.2%9.5%30.3%<1%
If Win 5.3%13.8%34.8%<1%
If Draw 3.3%8.1%27.6%<1%
If Lose 2.2%5.6%23.9%1.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PlymouthStatMK Dons
14Games played13
1.5Avg goals scored1.7
1.4Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 14% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss31% / 46% / 23%
43% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PlymouthStatMK Dons
6All-time wins (10 meetings, 1 draws)3
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2023-01-01): Plymouth 3–1 MK Dons