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Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 60% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
League One
Middlesbrough
8-5-2Rating 1702
Form: DLWWD
vs
Model Probability
60%
Draw 23%
17%
League One
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatDerby
15Games played15
2.0Avg goals scored0.9
1.3Avg goals conceded2.0
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
71% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatDerby
12All-time wins (27 meetings, 7 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-01-01): Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough