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Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 37% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
League One
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
League One
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatLiverpool
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.0
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 30% / 20%
60% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatLiverpool
8All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea