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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Arsenal vs Newcastle

Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 67% chance to win.
Final Score: Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle
Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · 5:30 PM BST
League One
Arsenal
21-7-5Rating 2091
Form: LLWWW
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1 – 0
Model Probability
67%
Draw 19%
13%
League One
Newcastle
12-6-15Rating 1890
Form: LLLWW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatNewcastle
33Games played33
1.9Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.5
64% / 21% / 15%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 18% / 45%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
ArsenalStatNewcastle
21All-time wins (29 meetings, 3 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.8Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2025-09-28): Newcastle 1–2 Arsenal

Recent Results

Arsenal

@ Manchester City
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Bournemouth
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Everton
Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Brighton
Wed, Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Chelsea
Sun, Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Newcastle

vs Bournemouth
Sat, Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Crystal Palace
Sun, Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Sunderland
Sun, Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Chelsea
Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Manchester Utd
Wed, Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1