Southampton vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 55% chance to win.
Final Score: Southampton 2–1 Derby
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Model Prediction Through Season
| Southampton | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Games played | 41 |
| 1.7 | Avg goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 45% / 30% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 44% / 22% / 34% |
| 53% | Home win % / Away win % | 45% |
| Southampton | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | All-time wins (3 meetings, 2 draws) | 0 |
| 1 | Last 3 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 2.0 | Average goals | 0.7 |