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Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 51% chance to win.
Final Score: Derby 2–0 Stoke
Mon, Apr 6, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
League One
Derby
17-9-14Rating 1591
Form: LWWLW
2 – 0
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
24%
League One
Stoke
15-9-16Rating 1641
Form: WLWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatStoke
40Games played40
1.4Avg goals scored1.2
1.3Avg goals conceded1.1
42% / 22% / 35%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 22% / 40%
40% Home win % / Away win % 30%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatStoke
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-08-09): Stoke 3–1 Derby