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Chelsea vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 43% chance to win.
Final Score: Chelsea 0–1 Manchester Utd
Sat, Apr 18, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
Championship
Chelsea
13-9-10Rating 1913
Form: LLLWL
0 – 1
Model Probability
43%
Draw 28%
30%
Championship
Manchester Utd
15-10-7Rating 1892
Form: LDWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatManchester Utd
32Games played32
1.7Avg goals scored1.8
1.3Avg goals conceded1.4
41% / 28% / 31%Win / Draw / Loss47% / 31% / 22%
38% Home win % / Away win % 31%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatManchester Utd
9All-time wins (32 meetings, 13 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2025-09-20): Manchester Utd 2–1 Chelsea