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← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Newcastle vs Manchester Utd
Final Score: Newcastle 2–1 Manchester Utd
Championship
Wed, Mar 4, 2026 · 8:15 PM GMT

Newcastle vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 44% chance to win.

Newcastle
10-6-12 · Rating 1916
Form: LLWLL
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VS
Manchester Utd
14-9-5 · Rating 1941
Form: WWDWW
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Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatManchester Utd
28Games played28
1.4Avg goals scored1.8
1.5Avg goals conceded1.4
36% / 21% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 32% / 18%
50% Home win % / Away win % 36%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
NewcastleStatManchester Utd
8All-time wins (29 meetings, 6 draws)15
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2025-12-26): Manchester Utd 1–0 Newcastle

Recent Results

Newcastle

vs Everton
Sat, Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3
@ Manchester City
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Tottenham
Tue, Feb 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Brentford
Sat, Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3
@ Liverpool
Sat, Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4

Manchester Utd

vs Crystal Palace
Sun, Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
@ Everton
Mon, Feb 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ West Ham
Tue, Feb 10, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Tottenham
Sat, Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
vs Fulham
Sun, Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2